You know what would be a lot of fun? It would be great if all you fucking mosquitos would make it literally as hard as possible for me to figure out playoff scenarios in the last two weeks of the season. There's only two games left, how hard could it be? Well on top of the like 2 million different possible outcomes of wins and Top 5s, there's like a billion tiebreakers to consider too. Basically you all have made my life a living hell, what's new. Unrelated, but our good friend and OG AFFL member Tyler had his second child this week, and as promised he changed his team name to The College Fund
s. I like to imagine that while Lauren was holding the baby for the first time, surrounded by nurses, Tmo was scrambling to open the ESPN app on his phone to change his name.
Playoffs??
Yall these standings are TIGHT. 2 points (1 week, in essence) separate #1 and #6. How does that compare to year's past??
Well there you have it, this is literally the closest the standings have ever been at this point in the season. Let's keep the flame buring boys!
Recall that there are 2 weeks left, which is 5 games (32 different possible outcomes) x 5 top 5s available (51 different combinations per outcome... trust me I fucking counted them) = 1632 scenarios for each week. That's doable for one week, but once you make it 2 weeks it becomes completely impossible without doing some coding that I'm not desperate to do. Here's what you need to know
TIEBREAKERS
Tiebreakers go as follows: H2H (like Garrett and Tmo below), record of all tied teams (like Jake TK and Nathan below), and lastly points scored. Here's where we are NOW, along with some important-to-know tidbits. An asterisk means the person is on that teams schedule in the final two weeks.
|
Team |
Record |
Tiebreak |
Beat |
Split |
Lost |
1 |
Collin |
17-9 |
|
Garrett*, Jake, TK |
Nathan |
Tmo* |
2 |
Jake |
16-10 |
2-1 vs Nathan and TK |
Garrett, Nathan |
Tmo |
TK*, Collin |
3 |
TK |
16-10 |
1-1 vs Nathan and Jake |
Jake* |
Garrett |
Collin, Nathan, Tyler |
4 |
Nathan |
16-10 |
1-2 vs Jake and TK |
TK |
Collin, Garrett |
Jake, Tyler |
5 |
Garrett |
15-11 |
Beat Tmo |
Tmo |
Nathan, TK |
Collin*, Jake |
6 |
Tmo |
15-11 |
Lost to Garrett |
TK, Nathan, Collin* |
Jake |
Garrett |
There I'm glad its clear and easy to understand now.
GAMES TO WATCH
GARRETT VS COLLIN
This is the key game of the week. Obviously there could be others that throw a wrench in things, but this is the only one between two serious playoff contenders that could shake up the standings entering the final week. Unfortunately for Garrett, he'll be missing Jonathan Taylor, Joe Mixon, and Zay Flowers to bye weeks, so Garrett could be facing a serious uphill battle here.
Week 13 Challenge
Smallest MOV
Winner: Jake (9.8 points)
Week 14 Challenge
Highest Scoring Bench Player
Bank
- Collin: $50
- Jake: $40
- Garrett: $30
- Tyler: $30
- Nathan: $30
- John Luke: $20
- Ryan: $20
- Mike: $20
- Austin: $10
- TK: $10
King of the Hill
We love to keep it interesting! Nathan tallies a strike, Tmo stays alive. Can Tmo hold the line one more week? Or will Nathan lock it down?
PREVIEWS
Ryan 140.06 - 98.9 Mike
Man, when Mike had to clutch up and come through to stay alive, he just absolutely fell flat on his face. Breece Hall with 5, tsk tsk. You went negative on defense bro, like what are we doing. Ryan, it hasn't been your year, there's no denying that. But 140+ in what is essentially garbage time for your season is both honorable and sort of hilarious. As covered above, Mike isn't technically out yet, but he can go ahead and start planning 2025 draft strategies. Ryan can be an absolute menace and continue casuing standings issues with games against Nathan and Garrett to close out his season.
Collin 141.72 - 94.32 Nathan
Do we need an intervention with Nathan? I'm not going to pretend like I was happy he was crushing everyone, but it was nice to see someone new up there. Nathan has officially gone 0-6 over the last 3 weeks. Its hard to even narrow down the problem (well -3 on defense could be one of them but that's not the norm). Just nobody stepping up to break out a big game when it matters most, George Kittle only contributing 1.7 and only one player breaking 20 (Ladd go dawgs baby). Collin, as mentioned last week, is on the complete opposite track. He looks almost unstoppable, like when my dude is getting 12 at once because Josh Allen got a passing TD
to himself then what are we even supposed to do but hope he cools off before the playoffs. Good luck Garrett and Tmo.
John Luke 140.2 - 112.8 Garrett
For the second straight week, John Luke has acted as an agent of chaos and taken down a playoff-seeded team. 20+ point outings from Sam Darnold, Trey McBride, and Mike Evans was more than enough to take care of a middling Garrett lineup that only one player, Joe Mixon, break 20. Baker with 10.2, Garrett Wilson with 9.1, scores like that need to get out of Garrett's system now before he finds himself mailing that trophy away before the playoffs even begin. After a hot Collin team this weekend, Garrett will have one more chance to try and hold down his seed against a bottom-ranked Ryan in week 15. John Luke has one more chance to keep his choas streak alive against Tmo this weekend.
Austin 131.66 - 143.88 TK
This game wound up being pretty good thanks to almost 50 points on MNF (that almost wound up costing me the weekly challenge, Austin you little boatfly), but TK just owned it early. 21 from James Cook on SNF probably sealed it, but 30 points from Brock Bowers is just good fantasy football. Even a lackluster effort from the QB/RB corps didn't slow him down. Austin is out of the playoffs already, so kind of a moot point for him, but he is the proud(?) owner of the absolute clown that cost the Panthers and Bryce Young a win they probably deserved, Chuba Hubbard. TK has Mike and Jake left in his way to make a playoff push, and those are two people that play TK close. TK is 20-18 all time in regular season games against Jake and Mike combined.
Jake 156.18 - 146.38 Tyler
Do I feel good about subjecting Tyler to being a Fuck You Game victim (his third) mere days after the birth of his child (his second)? Not entirely. Does rocketing up to 2nd place and picking up both the weekly challenge (smallest MOV) and top weekly score make me feel okay with it? You're damn right it does. The win is both huge for Jake to push him right into playoff position, and devestating for Tmo to keep him from a tied spot, where he'd own a lot of tiebreakers (as outlined above). Bucky Irving did the best he could to make me want to launch myself off the top of my office building, but Lamar matched him step for step to give Jake an easy win with pretty much any kicker points on MNF. Jake has now won five in a row, the last three coming against fellow playoff competitiors, with TK and that little RAT Austin left to play, while Tmo has JL before closing out against #1 Collin.
Are You Better than the Georgia Bulldogs?
A solid outing for the Dawgs, but there were plenty of scores to keep the league afloat this week. Fortunatley Austin's goofy run lives on, and with Nathan and Garrett falling, Austin sits with Collin sits as the undisputed Kings of the Dawgs (for now).
Pos |
Name |
Points |
QB |
Matthew Stafford |
19.62 |
RB1 |
D'Andre Swift |
9.4 |
RB2 |
James Cook |
21.0 |
WR1 |
George Pickens |
16.4 |
WR2 |
Ladd McConkey |
20.7 |
TE |
Brock Bowers |
30.2 |
FLEX |
Nick Chubb |
12.5 |
D/ST |
Eagles D/ST |
3 |
TOTAL |
|
132.82 |
Team |
Record |
Austin |
12-1 |
Collin |
12-1 |
Garrett |
11-2 |
Nathan |
11-2 |
Jake |
11-2 |
Mike |
10-3 |
Tyler |
10-3 |
TK |
10-3 |
Ryan |
9-4 |
John Luke |
9-4 |